Main
Lightweight
Takanori Gomi vs Diego Sanchez
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
·Saitama Super Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Takanori Gomi
Diego Sanchez
65%
35%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 2"
72"
34
Age
Δ 3y
31
36-14
Career record
Δ 3 pp
31-14
W2
Current streak
L1
6
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Gomi: 81 sig / 0 TD ·
Sanchez: 65 sig / 2 TD
Takanori Gomi
Diego Sanchez
36
Sig strikes landed
37
107
Sig strikes attempted
93
52
Total strikes landed
56
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.6
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
87s
Control time
120s
Method
Decision
78%
KO/TKO
15%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Takanori Gomi
"The Fireball Kid"
36-14
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
W
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le
—
W
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson
—
L
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage
—
L
UFC 125: Resolution
—
W
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko
—
Blue corner
L1
Diego Sanchez
"Nightmare"
31-14
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
72"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Elle…
—
W
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann
—
W
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez
—
L
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
—