Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Mizuto Hirota
Rani Yahya
35%
65%
Why
68"
Reach
Δ 0"
67"
32
Age
Δ 3y
28
—
Current streak
W1
0
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Hirota: 4 sig / 1 TD ·
Yahya: 13 sig / 5 TD
Mizuto Hirota
Rani Yahya
24
Sig strikes landed
28
55
Sig strikes attempted
64
41
Total strikes landed
51
0.6
Takedowns landed
2.1
1.1
Takedowns attempted
5.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
69s
Control time
254s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
29%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
Mizuto Hirota
"Pugnus"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
Blue corner
W1
Rani Yahya
29-12-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera
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L
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
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