Prelims1
Bantamweight
Alex Caceres vs Kyung Ho Kang
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
·Saitama Super Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Alex Caceres
Kyung Ho Kang
53%
47%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 0"
73"
25
Age
Δ 1y
26
W2
Current streak
—
6
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Overturned · Round 3
Caceres: 30 sig / 0 TD ·
Kang: 16 sig / 5 TD
Alex Caceres
Kyung Ho Kang
40
Sig strikes landed
32
80
Sig strikes attempted
78
55
Total strikes landed
48
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
117s
Control time
141s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Alex Caceres
"Bruce Leeroy"
22-15
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25
In our database
6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
W
UFC Macao: Franklin vs Le
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman
—
L
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit
—
W
UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Sa…
—
L
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
—
Blue corner
Kyung Ho Kang
"Mr. Perfect"
0-0
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26