Prelims1
Welterweight
Marcelo Guimaraes vs Hyun Gyu Lim
UFC on FUEL TV: Silva vs. Stann
·Saitama Super Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Marcelo Guimaraes
Hyun Gyu Lim
56%
44%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 4"
77"
30
Age
Δ 2y
28
W1
Current streak
—
1
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Guimaraes: 47 sig / 2 TD ·
Lim: 62 sig / 0 TD
Marcelo Guimaraes
Hyun Gyu Lim
43
Sig strikes landed
39
79
Sig strikes attempted
79
62
Total strikes landed
62
2.1
Takedowns landed
0.9
4.5
Takedowns attempted
1.7
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
228s
Control time
139s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
19%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Marcelo Guimaraes
"Magrao"
10-2-1
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman
—
Blue corner
Hyun Gyu Lim
"The Ace"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28