Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Kenny Robertson
Brock Jardine
62%
38%
Why
29
Age
Δ 1y
28
15-6
Career record
Δ 8 pp
12-7
L2
Current streak
L1
2
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Robertson: 9 sig / 1 TD ·
Jardine: 1 sig / 0 TD
Kenny Robertson
Brock Jardine
33
Sig strikes landed
33
60
Sig strikes attempted
66
50
Total strikes landed
52
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.5
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
152s
Control time
152s
Method
Decision
45%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Kenny Robertson
15-6
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman
—
L
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort
—
Blue corner
L1
Brock Jardine
"The Machine"
12-7
Career record
Height
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida
—