Main
Light Heavyweight
Jimi Manuwa vs Cyrille Diabate
UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald
·The SSE Arena, Wembley
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jimi Manuwa
Cyrille Diabate
72%
28%
Why
80"
Reach
Δ 2"
81"
33
Age
Δ 6y
39
18-6
Career record
Δ 10 pp
20-10-1
W1
Current streak
W2
1
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
TKO - Doctor's Stoppage · Round 1
Manuwa: 18 sig / 3 TD ·
Diabate: 9 sig / 0 TD
Jimi Manuwa
Cyrille Diabate
45
Sig strikes landed
37
84
Sig strikes attempted
96
60
Total strikes landed
44
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.4
1.7
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
97s
Control time
54s
Method
Decision
36%
KO/TKO
49%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Jimi Manuwa
"Poster Boy"
18-6
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic
—
Blue corner
W2
Cyrille Diabate
"The Snake"
20-10-1
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
81"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
39
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC 154: St-Pierre vs Condit
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs S…
—
L
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz
—
W
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann
—
L
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama
—