Back to UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald
Prelims1 Lightweight

Terry Etim vs Renee Forte

UFC on FUEL TV: Barao vs McDonald ·The SSE Arena, Wembley
Previous fight Next fight

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Terry Etim
Renee Forte
70% 30%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
71"
27
Age
Δ 1y
26
16-6
Career record
Δ 11 pp
8-5
L1
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Etim: 13 sig / 0 TD · Forte: 47 sig / 2 TD
Terry Etim
Renee Forte
35
Sig strikes landed
27
80
Sig strikes attempted
77
58
Total strikes landed
46
1.3
Takedowns landed
1.1
2.7
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
146s
Control time
106s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
20%
Submission
24%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Terry Etim

16-6
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes
—
W UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz
—
L UFC 112: Invincible
—
Blue corner
L1

Renee Forte

8-5
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar
—