Prelims1
Bantamweight
Iuri Alcantara vs Pedro Nobre
UFC on FX: Belfort vs Bisping
·Ginasio do Ibirapuera
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Iuri Alcantara
Pedro Nobre
88%
12%
Why
32
Age
Δ 6y
27
L1
Current streak
—
3
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Could Not Continue · Round 1
Alcantara: 20 sig / 1 TD ·
Nobre: 3 sig / 0 TD
Iuri Alcantara
Pedro Nobre
42
Sig strikes landed
38
102
Sig strikes attempted
72
64
Total strikes landed
63
1.5
Takedowns landed
1.3
3.1
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
174s
Control time
117s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Iuri Alcantara
"Marajo"
35-11
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L
UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2
—
W
UFC 142: Aldo vs Mendes
—
W
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami
—
Blue corner
Pedro Nobre
"The Rock"
0-0
Career record
Height
65"
Age
27