Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Mike Russow
Shawn Jordan
42%
58%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
36
Age
Δ 8y
28
15-4
Career record
Δ 11 pp
19-9
L1
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Russow: 25 sig / 1 TD ·
Jordan: 42 sig / 2 TD
Mike Russow
Shawn Jordan
22
Sig strikes landed
26
42
Sig strikes attempted
55
42
Total strikes landed
43
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.6
Takedowns attempted
1.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
200s
Control time
143s
Method
Decision
25%
KO/TKO
53%
Submission
21%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Mike Russow
15-4
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
36
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L
UFC 147: Silva vs Franklin 2
—
W
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Da…
—
W
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
—
Blue corner
L1
Shawn Jordan
"The Savage"
19-9
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
76"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao
—
W
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann
—