Prelims1
Lightweight
Michael Johnson vs Myles Jury
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Michael Johnson
Myles Jury
34%
66%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 0"
73"
27
Age
Δ 2y
24
26-20
Career record
Δ 25 pp
18-4
W3
Current streak
W1
6
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Johnson: 6 sig / 0 TD ·
Jury: 56 sig / 3 TD
Michael Johnson
Myles Jury
30
Sig strikes landed
29
89
Sig strikes attempted
86
34
Total strikes landed
39
0.3
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.2
Takedowns attempted
3.7
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
19s
Control time
139s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
24%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Michael Johnson
"The Menace"
26-20
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
27
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot
—
W
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller
—
W
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
—
L
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson
—
W
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry
—
Blue corner
W1
Myles Jury
"Fury"
18-4
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Live Fina…
—