Main
Middleweight
Yushin Okami vs Alan Belcher
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Yushin Okami
Alan Belcher
77%
23%
Why
75"
Reach
75"
31
Age
Δ 3y
29
35-12
Career record
Δ 4 pp
19-8
W1
Current streak
W3
6
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Okami: 20 sig / 1 TD ·
Belcher: 6 sig / 0 TD
Yushin Okami
Alan Belcher
18
Sig strikes landed
28
47
Sig strikes attempted
55
38
Total strikes landed
39
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.7
3.6
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
200s
Control time
112s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
34%
Submission
28%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Yushin Okami
"Thunder"
35-12
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC 150: Henderson vs Edgar II
—
L
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson
—
L
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami
—
W
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami
—
W
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko
—
Blue corner
W3
Alan Belcher
"The Talent"
19-8
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ell…
—
W
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2
—