Main
Middleweight
Tim Boetsch vs Constantinos Philippou
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Tim Boetsch
Constantinos Philippou
60%
40%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
73"
32
Age
Δ 1y
33
22-13
Career record
Δ 11 pp
14-5
W4
Current streak
W4
6
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Boetsch: 25 sig / 2 TD ·
Philippou: 28 sig / 0 TD
Tim Boetsch
Constantinos Philippou
38
Sig strikes landed
32
82
Sig strikes attempted
87
53
Total strikes landed
48
0.7
Takedowns landed
0.8
3.6
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.40
Knockdowns
0.30
97s
Control time
117s
Method
Decision
46%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Tim Boetsch
"The Barbarian"
22-13
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
6 fights · 5-1
Last 5
W
UFC 149: Faber vs Barao
—
W
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson
—
W
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage
—
W
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill
—
L
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida
—
Blue corner
W4
Constantinos Philippou
14-5
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
5 fights · 4-1
Last 5
W
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2
—
W
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann
—
W
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida
—
W
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2
—
L
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
—