Main
Lightweight
Jim Miller vs Joe Lauzon
UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jim Miller
Joe Lauzon
73%
27%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 0"
71"
29
Age
Δ 1y
29
39-20
Career record
Δ 2 pp
29-16
L1
Current streak
W1
8
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Miller: 91 sig / 1 TD ·
Lauzon: 35 sig / 0 TD
Jim Miller
Joe Lauzon
30
Sig strikes landed
25
73
Sig strikes attempted
64
38
Total strikes landed
35
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.7
1.7
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
101s
Control time
95s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
40%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jim Miller
"A-10"
39-20
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
29
In our database
8 fights · 6-2
Last 5
L
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller
—
W
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller
—
L
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
—
W
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
—
W
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2
—
Blue corner
W1
Joe Lauzon
29-16
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
W
UFC on FOX: Shogun vs Vera
—
L
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson
—
W
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3
—
W
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry
—
L
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida
—