Back to UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II
🏆 Title fight Main Heavyweight

Junior Dos Santos vs Cain Velasquez

UFC 155: Dos Santos vs Velasquez II ·MGM Grand Garden Arena
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Junior Dos Santos
Cain Velasquez
66% 34%
Why
77"
Reach
77"
29
Age
Δ 2y
30
22-9
Career record
Δ 12 pp
15-3
W6
Current streak
W1
6
UFC fights in our DB
4

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 5
Dos Santos: 57 sig / 0 TD · Velasquez: 111 sig / 11 TD
Junior Dos Santos
Cain Velasquez
51
Sig strikes landed
41
89
Sig strikes attempted
81
60
Total strikes landed
53
0.0
Takedowns landed
1.0
0.4
Takedowns attempted
4.0
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
30s
Control time
110s
Method
Decision
24%
KO/TKO
70%
Submission
6%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W6

Junior Dos Santos

"Cigano"
22-9
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29
In our database 6 fights · 6-0
Last 5
W UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir
—
W UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Sa…
—
W UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin
—
W UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen
—
W UFC Live: Vera vs Jones
—
Blue corner
W1

Cain Velasquez

15-3
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database 4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir
—
L UFC on FOX: Velasquez vs Dos Sa…
—
W UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez
—
W UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez
—