Prelims1
Lightweight
Marcus LeVesseur vs Abel Trujillo
UFC on FOX: Henderson vs Diaz
·Climate Pledge Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Marcus LeVesseur
Abel Trujillo
72%
28%
Why
70"
Reach
70"
30
Age
Δ 1y
29
W1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
LeVesseur: 9 sig / 2 TD ·
Trujillo: 57 sig / 1 TD
Marcus LeVesseur
Abel Trujillo
31
Sig strikes landed
24
59
Sig strikes attempted
50
50
Total strikes landed
42
1.9
Takedowns landed
0.8
5.0
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
197s
Control time
104s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
31%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Marcus LeVesseur
"The Prospect"
23-7
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC on FX: Browne vs Bigfoot
—
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie v…
—
Blue corner
Abel Trujillo
"Killa"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
29