Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Yasuhiro Urushitani
John Lineker
15%
85%
Why
36
Age
Δ 14y
22
21-9-6
Career record
Δ 17 pp
31-10
L1
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Urushitani: 62 sig / 0 TD ·
Lineker: 77 sig / 0 TD
Yasuhiro Urushitani
John Lineker
69
Sig strikes landed
51
156
Sig strikes attempted
116
74
Total strikes landed
89
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.2
4.0
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.80
90s
Control time
133s
Method
Decision
51%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Yasuhiro Urushitani
21-9-6
Career record
Height
65"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
36
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann
—
Blue corner
L1
John Lineker
"Hands of Stone"
31-10
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
22
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller
—