Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Takanori Gomi
Mac Danzig
79%
21%
Why
70"
Reach
70"
34
Age
Δ 1y
33
36-14
Career record
Δ 9 pp
22-12-1
W1
Current streak
W1
5
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 3
Gomi: 54 sig / 1 TD ·
Danzig: 64 sig / 2 TD
Takanori Gomi
Mac Danzig
26
Sig strikes landed
32
68
Sig strikes attempted
63
44
Total strikes landed
50
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.3
2.0
Takedowns attempted
2.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
108s
Control time
139s
Method
Decision
55%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Takanori Gomi
"The Fireball Kid"
36-14
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
34
In our database
5 fights · 2-3
Last 5
W
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson
—
L
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage
—
L
UFC 125: Resolution
—
W
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi
—
Blue corner
W1
Mac Danzig
22-12-1
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans
—
L
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson
—
W
UFC 124: St-Pierre vs Koscheck 2
—
L
UFC 115: Liddell vs Franklin
—
W
UFC 109: Relentless
—