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Luiz Cane vs Chris Camozzi

UFC 153: Silva vs Bonnar ·Farmasi Arena

Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Luiz Cane
Chris Camozzi
46% 54%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
32
Age
Δ 6y
26
17-8
Career record
Δ 2 pp
25-13
L1
Current streak
W2
3
UFC fights in our DB
6

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Cane: 55 sig / 1 TD · Camozzi: 97 sig / 0 TD
Luiz Cane
Chris Camozzi
31
Sig strikes landed
34
69
Sig strikes attempted
66
43
Total strikes landed
50
0.9
Takedowns landed
0.6
1.9
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
124s
Control time
91s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
30%
Submission
15%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Luiz Cane

"Banha"
17-8 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
32
In our database 3 fights · 1-2
Last 3
L UFC 134: Silva vs Okami
W UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
L UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
Blue corner
W2

Chris Camozzi

25-13
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database 6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida
W UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
L UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz
L UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch
W UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez