Back to UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson
Main Welterweight

Robert Whittaker vs Brad Scott

UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson ·Gold Coast Convention and Exhibition Centre
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Robert Whittaker
Brad Scott
84% 16%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 2"
76"
22
Age
Δ 2y
24

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Whittaker: 83 sig / 0 TD · Scott: 55 sig / 1 TD
Robert Whittaker
Brad Scott
39
Sig strikes landed
33
81
Sig strikes attempted
78
57
Total strikes landed
47
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.5
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
158s
Control time
91s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Robert Whittaker

"The Reaper"
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
22
Blue corner

Brad Scott

"Bear"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24