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George Sotiropoulos vs Ross Pearson

UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson ·Gold Coast Convention and Exhibition Centre
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Statlab take

baseline
Edge Confidence: High
George Sotiropoulos
Ross Pearson
58% 42%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 2"
69"
35
Age
Δ 7y
28
14-8
Career record
Δ 10 pp
20-17
L2
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
6

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 3
Sotiropoulos: 34 sig / 1 TD · Pearson: 50 sig / 0 TD
George Sotiropoulos
Ross Pearson
37
Sig strikes landed
45
109
Sig strikes attempted
113
51
Total strikes landed
60
1.3
Takedowns landed
0.7
5.2
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.20
Knockdowns
0.60
158s
Control time
82s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
36%
Submission
8%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

George Sotiropoulos

14-8
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database 5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber
—
L UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch
—
W UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida
—
W UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin
—
W UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez
—
Blue corner
L1

Ross Pearson

"The Real Deal"
20-17 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
69"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 6 fights · 3-3
Last 5
L UFC on FX: Maynard vs Guida
—
W UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem
—
L UFC 134: Silva vs Okami
—
W UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch
—
L UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs P…
—