Prelims1
Light Heavyweight
Igor Pokrajac vs Joey Beltran
UFC on FX: Sotiropoulos vs Pearson
·Gold Coast Convention and Exhibition Centre
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Igor Pokrajac
Joey Beltran
78%
22%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
75"
34
Age
Δ 3y
31
28-14
Career record
Δ 14 pp
17-15
L1
Current streak
L3
7
UFC fights in our DB
8
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Overturned · Round 3
Pokrajac: 48 sig / 0 TD ·
Beltran: 65 sig / 0 TD
Igor Pokrajac
Joey Beltran
49
Sig strikes landed
37
103
Sig strikes attempted
88
61
Total strikes landed
61
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.9
0.40
Knockdowns
0.10
70s
Control time
140s
Method
Decision
44%
KO/TKO
43%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Igor Pokrajac
"The Duke"
28-14
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
—
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie v…
—
W
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida
—
W
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP …
—
Blue corner
L3
Joey Beltran
"The Mexicutioner"
17-15
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
8 fights · 3-5
Last 5
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman
—
L
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
—
L
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3
—
W
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
—