Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Jimy Hettes
Marcus Brimage
85%
15%
Why
71"
Reach
71"
25
Age
Δ 2y
28
12-3
Career record
Δ 27 pp
8-7
W2
Current streak
W2
2
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Hettes: 87 sig / 2 TD ·
Brimage: 111 sig / 0 TD
Jimy Hettes
Marcus Brimage
48
Sig strikes landed
35
117
Sig strikes attempted
110
72
Total strikes landed
54
2.4
Takedowns landed
0.2
6.2
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
225s
Control time
38s
Method
Decision
67%
KO/TKO
11%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Jimy Hettes
"The Kid"
12-3
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
25
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem
—
W
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
—
Blue corner
W2
Marcus Brimage
"The Bama Beast"
8-7
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
71"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisp…
—