Prelims1
Light Heavyweight
Igor Pokrajac vs Vinny Magalhaes
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
·Scotiabank Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Igor Pokrajac
Vinny Magalhaes
71%
29%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 1"
75"
34
Age
Δ 6y
28
W3
Current streak
—
6
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Pokrajac: 8 sig / 1 TD ·
Magalhaes: 15 sig / 1 TD
Igor Pokrajac
Vinny Magalhaes
31
Sig strikes landed
26
59
Sig strikes attempted
54
45
Total strikes landed
41
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.2
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.40
Knockdowns
0.20
115s
Control time
85s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
54%
Submission
13%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Igor Pokrajac
"The Duke"
29-13
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie v…
—
W
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida
—
W
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team GSP …
—
W
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko
—
Blue corner
Vinny Magalhaes
"Pezao"
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28