🏆 Title fight
Main
Flyweight
Joseph Benavidez vs Demetrious Johnson
UFC 152: Jones vs Belfort
·Scotiabank Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Joseph Benavidez
Demetrious Johnson
47%
53%
Why
65"
Reach
Δ 1"
66"
28
Age
Δ 2y
26
29-8
Career record
Δ 9 pp
28-3-1
W3
Current streak
W1
3
UFC fights in our DB
5
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Split · Round 5
Benavidez: 44 sig / 0 TD ·
Johnson: 77 sig / 5 TD
Joseph Benavidez
Demetrious Johnson
40
Sig strikes landed
54
123
Sig strikes attempted
125
61
Total strikes landed
89
1.1
Takedowns landed
2.2
4.0
Takedowns attempted
5.5
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
117s
Control time
170s
Method
Decision
62%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
12%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Joseph Benavidez
29-8
Career record
Height
64"
Reach
65"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann
—
W
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
—
W
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
—
Blue corner
W1
Demetrious Johnson
"Mighty Mouse"
28-3-1
Career record
Height
63"
Reach
66"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
5 fights · 3-1
Last 5
W
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall
—
D
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann
—
L
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson
—
W
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill
—
W
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort
—