Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Michael Bisping
Brian Stann
84%
16%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
34
Age
Δ 2y
32
30-10
Career record
Δ 7 pp
13-6
L1
Current streak
W1
6
UFC fights in our DB
6
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Bisping: 64 sig / 4 TD ·
Stann: 57 sig / 0 TD
Michael Bisping
Brian Stann
45
Sig strikes landed
41
113
Sig strikes attempted
103
65
Total strikes landed
43
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.2
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
93s
Control time
62s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
56%
Submission
11%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Michael Bisping
"The Count"
30-10
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
L
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisp…
—
W
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch
—
W
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama
—
W
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
—
Blue corner
W1
Brian Stann
"All American"
13-6
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs S…
—
L
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3
—
W
UFC 130: Rampage vs Hamill
—
W
UFC 125: Resolution
—
W
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko
—