Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Cyrille Diabate
Chad Griggs
62%
38%
Why
81"
Reach
Δ 8"
73"
39
Age
Δ 5y
34
20-10-1
Career record
Δ 9 pp
11-4
W1
Current streak
L1
5
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Diabate: 6 sig / 2 TD ·
Griggs: 2 sig / 1 TD
Cyrille Diabate
Chad Griggs
35
Sig strikes landed
32
79
Sig strikes attempted
84
50
Total strikes landed
38
0.4
Takedowns landed
0.7
0.6
Takedowns attempted
5.8
0.50
Knockdowns
0.30
114s
Control time
75s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
42%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Cyrille Diabate
"The Snake"
20-10-1
Career record
Height
78"
Reach
81"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
39
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs S…
—
L
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz
—
W
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann
—
L
UFC 120: Bisping vs Akiyama
—
W
UFC 114: Rampage vs Evans
—
Blue corner
L1
Chad Griggs
"The Grave Digger"
11-4
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
35
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans
—