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Women's Featherweight

Hiroko Yamanaka vs Germaine de Randamie

Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Hiroko Yamanaka
Germaine de Randamie
80% 20%
Why
34
Age
Δ 5y
28
13-3
Career record
Δ 19 pp
10-6
Current streak
L1
1
UFC fights in our DB
2

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Yamanaka: 32 sig / 0 TD · de Randamie: 42 sig / 0 TD
Hiroko Yamanaka
Germaine de Randamie
46
Sig strikes landed
37
71
Sig strikes attempted
74
67
Total strikes landed
62
2.3
Takedowns landed
0.6
2.9
Takedowns attempted
1.3
0.10
Knockdowns
0.40
218s
Control time
80s
Method
Decision
31%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
22%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Hiroko Yamanaka

"Cat's Eye"
13-3 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Age
34
In our database 1 fight · 0-0
Blue corner
L1

Germaine de Randamie

"The Iron Lady"
10-6
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L Strikeforce Challengers 16
W Strikeforce - Diaz vs. Cyborg