Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
King Green
Matt Ricehouse
87%
13%
Why
26
Age
Δ 0y
25
36-17-1
Career record
Δ 21 pp
7-1
W3
Current streak
W4
4
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Green: 77 sig / 2 TD ·
Ricehouse: 48 sig / 0 TD
King Green
Matt Ricehouse
62
Sig strikes landed
44
155
Sig strikes attempted
116
65
Total strikes landed
48
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.9
2.6
Takedowns attempted
3.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.50
77s
Control time
99s
Method
Decision
65%
KO/TKO
14%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
King Green
36-17-1
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
Strikeforce - Barnett vs Cormier
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 20
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 19
—
L
Strikeforce - Fedor vs. Henders…
—
Blue corner
W4
Matt Ricehouse
7-1
Career record
Age
25
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
Strikeforce Challengers 20
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 16
—
W
Strikeforce - Henderson vs. Bab…
—
W
Strikeforce - Heavy Artillery
—