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Kyle Kingsbury vs Jimi Manuwa

UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic ·Motorpoint Arena Nottingham
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Statlab take

baseline
Lean Confidence: High
Kyle Kingsbury
Jimi Manuwa
45% 55%
Why
79"
Reach
Δ 0"
80"
30
Age
Δ 2y
33
L2
Current streak
—
5
UFC fights in our DB
0

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
TKO - Doctor's Stoppage · Round 2
Kingsbury: 28 sig / 2 TD · Manuwa: 53 sig / 0 TD
Kyle Kingsbury
Jimi Manuwa
39
Sig strikes landed
39
93
Sig strikes attempted
85
52
Total strikes landed
56
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.3
1.8
Takedowns attempted
2.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
124s
Control time
149s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
47%
Submission
10%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L2

Kyle Kingsbury

"Kingsbu"
11-7 (1 NC)
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
79"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database 5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L UFC 146: Dos Santos vs Mir
—
L UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson
—
W The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesn…
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W UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort
—
W UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs P…
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Blue corner

Jimi Manuwa

"Poster Boy"
0-0
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
80"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33