Main
Bantamweight
Brad Pickett vs Yves Jabouin
UFC on FUEL TV: Struve vs Miocic
·Motorpoint Arena Nottingham
Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Brad Pickett
Yves Jabouin
66%
34%
Why
68"
Reach
68"
34
Age
Δ 1y
33
26-14
Career record
Δ 1 pp
21-11
W1
Current streak
W3
2
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Pickett: 14 sig / 0 TD ·
Jabouin: 26 sig / 0 TD
Brad Pickett
Yves Jabouin
27
Sig strikes landed
36
75
Sig strikes attempted
78
44
Total strikes landed
51
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.6
3.1
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
135s
Control time
62s
Method
Decision
56%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Brad Pickett
"One Punch"
26-14
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs S…
—
L
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz
—
Blue corner
W3
Yves Jabouin
"Tiger"
21-11
Career record
Height
67"
Reach
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie v…
—
W
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida
—
W
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami
—
L
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields
—