Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Jared Hamman
Michael Kuiper
42%
58%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 2"
73"
30
Age
Δ 7y
23
14-7
Career record
Δ 5 pp
15-6
L1
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Hamman: 61 sig / 0 TD ·
Kuiper: 56 sig / 1 TD
Jared Hamman
Michael Kuiper
41
Sig strikes landed
38
93
Sig strikes attempted
78
61
Total strikes landed
54
0.6
Takedowns landed
1.8
2.4
Takedowns attempted
4.7
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
99s
Control time
196s
Method
Decision
40%
KO/TKO
54%
Submission
7%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Jared Hamman
"The Messenger"
14-7
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
L
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida
—
W
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Marquardt vs P…
—
W
UFC 111: St-Pierre vs Hardy
—
Blue corner
L1
Michael Kuiper
15-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
23
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit
—