Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Yushin Okami
Buddy Roberts
83%
17%
Why
31
Age
Δ 1y
30
34-13
Career record
Δ 9 pp
13-3
L2
Current streak
W1
5
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Okami: 26 sig / 3 TD ·
Roberts: 15 sig / 0 TD
Yushin Okami
Buddy Roberts
37
Sig strikes landed
33
94
Sig strikes attempted
85
45
Total strikes landed
44
1.5
Takedowns landed
0.1
4.6
Takedowns attempted
2.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
210s
Control time
24s
Method
Decision
66%
KO/TKO
27%
Submission
8%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L2
Yushin Okami
"Thunder"
34-13
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
31
In our database
5 fights · 3-2
Last 5
L
UFC 144: Edgar vs Henderson
—
L
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami
—
W
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami
—
W
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Florian vs Gomi
—
Blue corner
W1
Buddy Roberts
13-3
Career record
Height
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W
UFC on FX: Johnson vs McCall
—