Main
Lightweight
Rafael Dos Anjos vs Anthony Njokuani
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman
·SAP Center at San Jose
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Rafael Dos Anjos
Anthony Njokuani
85%
15%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 6"
76"
28
Age
Δ 5y
32
33-17
Career record
Δ 7 pp
17-12
W1
Current streak
W1
6
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Dos Anjos: 51 sig / 6 TD ·
Njokuani: 32 sig / 0 TD
Rafael Dos Anjos
Anthony Njokuani
42
Sig strikes landed
33
99
Sig strikes attempted
70
58
Total strikes landed
50
2.7
Takedowns landed
0.1
6.7
Takedowns attempted
0.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
227s
Control time
12s
Method
Decision
70%
KO/TKO
16%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Rafael Dos Anjos
33-17
Career record
Height
68"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
6 fights · 4-2
Last 5
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Korean Zombie v…
—
L
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson
—
W
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber
—
L
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen
—
W
UFC 112: Invincible
—
Blue corner
W1
Anthony Njokuani
"The Assassin"
17-12
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans
—
L
UFC 141: Lesnar vs Overeem
—
W
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber
—
L
UFC 128: Shogun vs Jones
—