Main
Middleweight
Karlos Vemola vs Francis Carmont
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman
·SAP Center at San Jose
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Karlos Vemola
Francis Carmont
56%
44%
Why
75"
Reach
Δ 3"
78"
27
Age
Δ 4y
31
18-5
Career record
Δ 10 pp
26-12
W1
Current streak
W2
4
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 2
Vemola: 3 sig / 1 TD ·
Carmont: 4 sig / 0 TD
Karlos Vemola
Francis Carmont
20
Sig strikes landed
29
47
Sig strikes attempted
57
37
Total strikes landed
48
1.6
Takedowns landed
0.9
4.9
Takedowns attempted
2.1
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
162s
Control time
141s
Method
Decision
42%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
31%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Karlos Vemola
18-5
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database
4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W
UFC on FOX: Diaz vs Miller
—
L
UFC Live: Hardy vs Lytle
—
W
UFC 122: Marquardt vs Okami
—
L
UFC 116: Lesnar vs Carwin
—
Blue corner
W2
Francis Carmont
"Limitless"
26-12
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Gustafsson vs S…
—
W
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz
—