Main
Welterweight
Aaron Simpson vs Kenny Robertson
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman
·SAP Center at San Jose
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Aaron Simpson
Kenny Robertson
47%
53%
Why
73"
Reach
Δ 1"
74"
38
Age
Δ 10y
28
12-6
Career record
Δ 5 pp
15-6
L1
Current streak
L1
7
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Simpson: 48 sig / 6 TD ·
Robertson: 29 sig / 0 TD
Aaron Simpson
Kenny Robertson
38
Sig strikes landed
28
73
Sig strikes attempted
68
62
Total strikes landed
44
1.9
Takedowns landed
1.0
5.6
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
235s
Control time
113s
Method
Decision
64%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Aaron Simpson
"A-Train"
12-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
7 fights · 4-3
Last 5
L
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Elle…
—
W
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3
—
W
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber
—
W
UFC Fight Night: Nogueira vs Da…
—
L
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida
—
Blue corner
L1
Kenny Robertson
15-6
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort
—