Main
Light Heavyweight
James Te Huna vs Joey Beltran
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman
·SAP Center at San Jose
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
James Te Huna
Joey Beltran
69%
31%
Why
75"
Reach
75"
31
Age
Δ 0y
31
17-9
Career record
Δ 12 pp
17-15
W2
Current streak
L2
4
UFC fights in our DB
7
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Te Huna: 122 sig / 3 TD ·
Beltran: 73 sig / 1 TD
James Te Huna
Joey Beltran
49
Sig strikes landed
31
96
Sig strikes attempted
79
66
Total strikes landed
47
1.4
Takedowns landed
0.5
5.0
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
166s
Control time
91s
Method
Decision
38%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
James Te Huna
17-9
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann
—
W
UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage
—
L
UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch
—
W
UFC 110: Nogueira vs Velasquez
—
Blue corner
L2
Joey Beltran
"The Mexicutioner"
17-15
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
7 fights · 3-4
Last 5
L
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
—
L
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3
—
W
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin
—
L
UFC Fight Night: Fight for the …
—
L
UFC 119: Mir vs Cro Cop
—