Main
Middleweight
Mark Munoz vs Chris Weidman
UFC on FUEL TV: Munoz vs Weidman
·SAP Center at San Jose
Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Mark Munoz
Chris Weidman
45%
55%
Why
71"
Reach
Δ 7"
78"
34
Age
Δ 6y
28
15-6
Career record
Δ 3 pp
17-8
W4
Current streak
W4
7
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Munoz: 0 sig / 0 TD ·
Weidman: 28 sig / 2 TD
Mark Munoz
Chris Weidman
29
Sig strikes landed
35
65
Sig strikes attempted
82
36
Total strikes landed
47
0.9
Takedowns landed
1.4
3.0
Takedowns attempted
3.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.10
98s
Control time
150s
Method
Decision
41%
KO/TKO
40%
Submission
20%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Mark Munoz
"The Filipino Wrecking Machine"
15-6
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
34
In our database
7 fights · 6-1
Last 5
W
UFC 138: Leben vs Munoz
—
W
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin
—
W
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann
—
W
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida
—
L
UFC Live: Jones vs Matyushenko
—
Blue corner
W4
Chris Weidman
"The All-American"
17-8
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
78"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
—
W
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson
—
W
UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin
—
W
UFC Live: Sanchez vs Kampmann
—