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Prelims1 Middleweight

Court McGee vs Nick Ring

UFC 149: Faber vs Barao ·Scotiabank Saddledome

Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Court McGee
Nick Ring
63% 37%
Why
76"
Reach
Δ 2"
74"
28
Age
Δ 6y
33
23-15
Career record
Δ 13 pp
14-5
L1
Current streak
L1
4
UFC fights in our DB
3

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
McGee: 108 sig / 0 TD · Ring: 68 sig / 0 TD
Court McGee
Nick Ring
48
Sig strikes landed
42
123
Sig strikes attempted
110
71
Total strikes landed
58
1.1
Takedowns landed
1.4
2.8
Takedowns attempted
5.1
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
104s
Control time
153s
Method
Decision
58%
KO/TKO
29%
Submission
13%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
L1

Court McGee

"The Crusher"
23-15
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
28
In our database 4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
L UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann
W UFC Fight Night: Shields vs Ell…
W UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez
W The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lidd…
Blue corner
L1

Nick Ring

"The Promise"
14-5
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
33
In our database 3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
L UFC 135: Jones vs Rampage
W UFC 131: Dos Santos vs Carwin
W UFC 127: Penn vs Fitch