Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Cung Le
Patrick Cote
30%
70%
Why
70"
Reach
Δ 5"
75"
40
Age
Δ 8y
32
9-4
Career record
Δ 4 pp
23-12
L1
Current streak
L2
1
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Le: 55 sig / 2 TD ·
Cote: 51 sig / 0 TD
Cung Le
Patrick Cote
25
Sig strikes landed
38
45
Sig strikes attempted
69
38
Total strikes landed
66
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.1
1.9
Takedowns attempted
3.0
0.20
Knockdowns
0.40
162s
Control time
174s
Method
Decision
33%
KO/TKO
44%
Submission
23%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Cung Le
9-4
Career record
Height
69"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
40
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson
—
Blue corner
L2
Patrick Cote
"The Predator"
23-12
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
2 fights · 0-2
Last 2
L
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez
—
L
UFC 113: Machida vs Shogun 2
—