Main
Light Heavyweight
Forrest Griffin vs Tito Ortiz
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Forrest Griffin
Tito Ortiz
76%
24%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 3"
74"
33
Age
Δ 4y
38
19-8
Career record
Δ 13 pp
19-13-1
L1
Current streak
L2
2
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Griffin: 85 sig / 0 TD ·
Ortiz: 49 sig / 3 TD
Forrest Griffin
Tito Ortiz
36
Sig strikes landed
30
85
Sig strikes attempted
75
60
Total strikes landed
45
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.5
2.7
Takedowns attempted
2.8
0.30
Knockdowns
0.20
126s
Control time
97s
Method
Decision
48%
KO/TKO
37%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
L1
Forrest Griffin
19-8
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
33
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami
—
W
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort
—
Blue corner
L2
Tito Ortiz
"The People's Champ"
19-13-1
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
38
In our database
4 fights · 1-3
Last 4
L
UFC 140: Jones vs Machida
—
L
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2
—
W
UFC 132: Cruz vs Faber
—
L
UFC 121: Lesnar vs Velasquez
—