Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Ivan Menjivar
Mike Easton
64%
36%
Why
64"
Reach
Δ 6"
70"
30
Age
Δ 2y
28
26-12
Career record
Δ 2 pp
14-6
W3
Current streak
W2
3
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Menjivar: 40 sig / 0 TD ·
Easton: 46 sig / 1 TD
Ivan Menjivar
Mike Easton
37
Sig strikes landed
41
99
Sig strikes attempted
101
45
Total strikes landed
49
0.8
Takedowns landed
0.7
2.5
Takedowns attempted
2.2
0.10
Knockdowns
0.20
81s
Control time
72s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
15%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Ivan Menjivar
"The Pride of El Salvador"
26-12
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
64"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
30
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
UFC on FUEL TV: Sanchez vs Elle…
—
W
UFC 133: Evans vs Ortiz 2
—
W
UFC 129: St-Pierre vs Shields
—
Blue corner
W2
Mike Easton
"The Hulk"
14-6
Career record
Height
66"
Reach
70"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
28
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC on FX: Guillard vs Miller
—
W
UFC Live: Cruz vs Johnson
—