🏆 Title fight
Main
Middleweight
Anderson Silva vs Chael Sonnen
UFC 148: Silva vs Sonnen 2
·MGM Grand Garden Arena
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Anderson Silva
Chael Sonnen
77%
23%
Why
77"
Reach
Δ 4"
74"
37
Age
Δ 2y
35
35-11
Career record
Δ 11 pp
30-15-1
W4
Current streak
W2
4
UFC fights in our DB
4
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Silva: 15 sig / 0 TD ·
Sonnen: 22 sig / 1 TD
Anderson Silva
Chael Sonnen
30
Sig strikes landed
37
60
Sig strikes attempted
72
41
Total strikes landed
74
0.4
Takedowns landed
1.3
0.3
Takedowns attempted
5.1
0.50
Knockdowns
0.20
31s
Control time
278s
Method
Decision
47%
KO/TKO
38%
Submission
16%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W4
Anderson Silva
"The Spider"
35-11
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
77"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
37
In our database
4 fights · 4-0
Last 4
W
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami
—
W
UFC 126: Silva vs Belfort
—
W
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen
—
W
UFC 112: Invincible
—
Blue corner
W2
Chael Sonnen
30-15-1
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Southpaw
Age
35
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
UFC on FOX: Evans vs Davis
—
W
UFC 136: Edgar vs Maynard 3
—
L
UFC 117: Silva vs Sonnen
—
W
UFC 109: Relentless
—