Statlab take
baseline
Edge
Confidence: High
Ramsey Nijem
CJ Keith
57%
43%
Why
24
Age
Δ 2y
26
W1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Nijem: 5 sig / 1 TD ·
Keith: 5 sig / 0 TD
Ramsey Nijem
CJ Keith
35
Sig strikes landed
31
70
Sig strikes attempted
65
59
Total strikes landed
53
1.7
Takedowns landed
0.9
4.2
Takedowns attempted
1.8
0.20
Knockdowns
0.20
222s
Control time
133s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
26%
Submission
22%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Ramsey Nijem
10-6
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
UFC 137: Penn vs Diaz
—
L
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Lesn…
—
Blue corner
CJ Keith
0-0
Career record
Height
72"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26