Statlab take
baseline
Lean
Confidence: High
Matt Brown
Luis Ramos
56%
44%
Why
31
Age
31
27-19
Career record
Δ 2 pp
20-11-2
W2
Current streak
L1
7
UFC fights in our DB
1
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 2
Brown: 52 sig / 0 TD ·
Ramos: 20 sig / 1 TD
Matt Brown
Luis Ramos
24
Sig strikes landed
17
54
Sig strikes attempted
40
45
Total strikes landed
33
1.0
Takedowns landed
0.9
2.7
Takedowns attempted
2.6
0.20
Knockdowns
0.30
119s
Control time
101s
Method
Decision
49%
KO/TKO
32%
Submission
18%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Matt Brown
"The Immortal"
27-19
Career record
Height
72"
Reach
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
7 fights · 3-4
Last 5
W
UFC 145: Jones vs Evans
—
W
UFC 143: Diaz vs Condit
—
L
UFC 139: Shogun vs Henderson
—
W
UFC Live: Kongo vs Barry
—
L
UFC 123: Rampage vs Machida
—
Blue corner
L1
Luis Ramos
"Beicao"
20-11-2
Career record
Height
68"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
31
In our database
1 fight · 0-1
Last 1
L
UFC 134: Silva vs Okami
—