Statlab take
baseline
Clear edge
Confidence: High
Steven Siler
Joey Gambino
66%
34%
Why
25
Age
Δ 2y
24
W2
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Siler: 12 sig / 1 TD ·
Gambino: 5 sig / 0 TD
Steven Siler
Joey Gambino
52
Sig strikes landed
52
115
Sig strikes attempted
139
70
Total strikes landed
59
0.8
Takedowns landed
1.2
1.9
Takedowns attempted
3.3
0.30
Knockdowns
0.10
123s
Control time
116s
Method
Decision
59%
KO/TKO
28%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W2
Steven Siler
"Super"
30-16
Career record
Height
71"
Reach
70"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
2 fights · 2-0
Last 2
W
UFC on FX: Alves vs Kampmann
—
W
The Ultimate Fighter: Team Bisp…
—
Blue corner
Joey Gambino
"The Raging Warrior"
0-0
Career record
Height
67"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24