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Myles Jury vs Chris Saunders

The Ultimate Fighter: Live Finale ·Pearl Concert Theater
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Statlab take

baseline
Heavy favorite Confidence: High
Myles Jury
Chris Saunders
87% 13%
Why
24
Age
Δ 3y
26

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Submission · Round 1
Jury: 12 sig / 0 TD · Saunders: 6 sig / 1 TD
Myles Jury
Chris Saunders
52
Sig strikes landed
42
114
Sig strikes attempted
107
68
Total strikes landed
55
1.0
Takedowns landed
1.0
2.3
Takedowns attempted
2.4
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
128s
Control time
114s
Method
Decision
43%
KO/TKO
39%
Submission
18%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner

Myles Jury

"Fury"
0-0
Career record
Height
70"
Reach
73"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
24
Blue corner

Chris Saunders

"The So Cal Kid"
0-0
Career record
Height
68"
Age
26