Light Heavyweight
Virgil Zwicker vs Guto Inocente
Strikeforce - Barnett vs Cormier
·SAP Center at San Jose
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Virgil Zwicker
Guto Inocente
84%
16%
Why
30
Age
Δ 4y
26
W1
Current streak
—
2
UFC fights in our DB
0
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Zwicker: 48 sig / 3 TD ·
Inocente: 85 sig / 1 TD
Virgil Zwicker
Guto Inocente
27
Sig strikes landed
37
78
Sig strikes attempted
75
45
Total strikes landed
47
1.5
Takedowns landed
1.4
2.1
Takedowns attempted
2.0
0.50
Knockdowns
0.30
109s
Control time
88s
Method
Decision
28%
KO/TKO
55%
Submission
17%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Virgil Zwicker
"RezDog"
16-6-1
Career record
Height
74"
Reach
74"
Age
30
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
W
Strikeforce - Diaz vs. Daley
—
L
Strikeforce Challengers 11
—
Blue corner
Guto Inocente
0-0
Career record
Height
75"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
26