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Gian Villante vs Derrick Mehmen

Strikeforce - Barnett vs Cormier ·SAP Center at San Jose
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Statlab take

baseline
Clear edge Confidence: High
Gian Villante
Derrick Mehmen
64% 36%
Why
27
Age
Δ 0y
27
18-14
Career record
Δ 13 pp
20-9
W2
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
1

Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.

Statlab projections

Method classifier: 0.55 accuracy on 2083 fights
Actual result
Decision - Unanimous · Round 3
Villante: 68 sig / 0 TD · Mehmen: 29 sig / 1 TD
Gian Villante
Derrick Mehmen
29
Sig strikes landed
50
82
Sig strikes attempted
103
33
Total strikes landed
65
1.4
Takedowns landed
1.0
3.0
Takedowns attempted
1.4
0.10
Knockdowns
0.30
83s
Control time
134s
Method
Decision
24%
KO/TKO
59%
Submission
16%

Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).

Red corner
W2

Gian Villante

18-14
Career record
Height
75"
Reach
76"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
27
In our database 4 fights · 2-2
Last 4
W Strikeforce - Rockhold vs. Jard…
—
W Strikeforce Challengers 18
—
L Strikeforce Challengers 16
—
L Strikeforce - Fedor vs. Silva
—
Blue corner
W1

Derrick Mehmen

"Caveman"
20-9
Career record
Height
76"
Age
27
In our database 1 fight · 1-0
Last 1
W Strikeforce Challengers 18
—