Welterweight
Nah-Shon Burrell vs Chris Spang
Strikeforce - Barnett vs Cormier
·SAP Center at San Jose
Statlab take
baseline
Heavy favorite
Confidence: High
Nah-Shon Burrell
Chris Spang
74%
26%
Why
22
Age
Δ 2y
24
16-7
Career record
Δ 10 pp
6-4
W3
Current streak
L1
3
UFC fights in our DB
2
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
KO/TKO · Round 1
Burrell: 11 sig / 0 TD ·
Spang: 33 sig / 0 TD
Nah-Shon Burrell
Chris Spang
42
Sig strikes landed
33
99
Sig strikes attempted
88
56
Total strikes landed
41
1.2
Takedowns landed
0.8
1.7
Takedowns attempted
1.9
0.50
Knockdowns
0.10
135s
Control time
72s
Method
Decision
52%
KO/TKO
33%
Submission
14%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W3
Nah-Shon Burrell
"The Rock n Rolla"
16-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
71"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
22
In our database
3 fights · 3-0
Last 3
W
Strikeforce - Rockhold vs. Jard…
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 18
—
W
Strikeforce - Overeem vs. Werdum
—
Blue corner
L1
Chris Spang
"The Kiss"
6-4
Career record
Height
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
25
In our database
2 fights · 1-1
Last 2
L
Strikeforce - Rockhold vs. Jard…
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 19
—