Light Heavyweight
Rafael Cavalcante vs Mike Kyle
Strikeforce - Barnett vs Cormier
·SAP Center at San Jose
Statlab take
baseline
Toss-up
Confidence: High
Rafael Cavalcante
Mike Kyle
50%
50%
Why
74"
Reach
Δ 3"
77"
32
Age
32
13-7
Career record
Δ 4 pp
23-14-1
W1
Current streak
W1
4
UFC fights in our DB
3
Logistic-regression model trained on ~5,000 UFC/DWCS fights since 2016 (71.9% test accuracy). The "Why" panel shows interpretable inputs; the headline probability comes from the model.
Statlab projections
Actual result
Overturned · Round 1
Cavalcante: 3 sig / 0 TD ·
Kyle: 0 sig / 0 TD
Rafael Cavalcante
Mike Kyle
24
Sig strikes landed
39
66
Sig strikes attempted
84
33
Total strikes landed
58
1.5
Takedowns landed
1.3
6.3
Takedowns attempted
1.5
0.30
Knockdowns
0.30
96s
Control time
80s
Method
Decision
30%
KO/TKO
61%
Submission
10%
Stat regressor (GBT MultiOutput) trained on 8348 fighter-fight rows. Per-stat MAE vs naive-mean baseline: SigStrikesLanded: 25.4 (naive 28.2); SigStrikesAttempted: 52.3 (naive 59.4); TakedownsLanded: 1.1 (naive 1.3); TakedownsAttempted: 2.5 (naive 3.0); Knockdowns: 0.3 (naive 0.3); ControlTimeSeconds: 113.9 (naive 131.8); TotalStrikesLanded: 33.8 (naive 37.1).
Red corner
W1
Rafael Cavalcante
"Feijao"
13-7
(1 NC)
Career record
Height
73"
Reach
74"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
4 fights · 3-1
Last 4
W
Strikeforce - Barnett vs. Khari…
—
L
Strikeforce - Feijao vs. Hender…
—
W
Strikeforce - Houston
—
W
Strikeforce - Heavy Artillery
—
Blue corner
W1
Mike Kyle
"MAK"
23-14-1
(2 NC)
Career record
Height
76"
Reach
77"
Stance
Orthodox
Age
32
In our database
3 fights · 2-1
Last 3
W
Strikeforce - Barnett vs. Khari…
—
L
Strikeforce - Henderson vs. Bab…
—
W
Strikeforce Challengers 9
—